Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.218383 0.254721 0.297418 0.351869 0.420308 0.504635 6.182519e-01
2025-01-12 0.164486 0.209335 0.268782 0.355758 0.484149 0.674478 9.946470e-01
2025-01-19 0.131274 0.177311 0.243721 0.351320 0.531738 0.845072 1.495367e+00
2025-01-26 0.112579 0.159373 0.231638 0.359230 0.598826 1.082607 2.334360e+00
2025-02-02 0.100273 0.147608 0.225058 0.372540 0.679989 1.400159 3.771577e+00
2025-02-09 0.090282 0.137221 0.217808 0.381556 0.756466 1.768651 6.081412e+00
2025-02-16 0.082724 0.129339 0.212893 0.393141 0.844680 2.254082 1.034264e+01
2025-02-23 0.075992 0.121685 0.206655 0.399834 0.925065 2.811841 1.789408e+01
2025-03-02 0.070026 0.114452 0.199743 0.402883 0.998296 3.451112 3.203041e+01
2025-03-09 0.064505 0.107250 0.191559 0.400573 1.055509 4.124944 5.861779e+01
2025-03-16 0.059236 0.099857 0.181744 0.391565 1.087241 4.745071 1.067192e+02
2025-03-23 0.056267 0.096542 0.180056 0.403539 1.203370 6.165305 3.272302e+02
2025-03-30 0.051985 0.090226 0.171000 0.393486 1.232528 7.104133 9.008042e+02
2025-04-06 0.049200 0.086650 0.167654 0.399319 1.336306 9.120320 9.132352e+03
2025-04-13 0.046087 0.082065 0.161299 0.394556 1.391658 10.969740 3.655752e+06
2025-04-20 0.044076 0.079579 0.159558 0.403913 1.527509 14.794640 NaN
2025-04-27 0.042549 0.077951 0.159655 0.419510 1.716088 21.468567 NaN
2025-05-04 0.040901 0.075883 0.158336 0.430078 1.891407 30.772528 NaN
2025-05-11 0.039504 0.074228 0.157835 0.443663 2.108240 47.043433 NaN
2025-05-18 0.037984 0.072145 0.155909 0.451521 2.300572 70.898883 NaN
2025-05-25 0.036428 0.069836 0.153061 0.455103 2.470800 106.300083 NaN
2025-06-01 0.034782 0.067179 0.148918 0.452389 2.590028 152.791393 NaN
2025-06-08 0.033014 0.064099 0.143232 0.441817 2.629082 200.217346 NaN